February 28, 2023 12:30 pm ET. Its a coin flip to me who holds the belt at the end of the season, so Ill gladly take the plus money on the player with far better course history. Kirk will take home the top Like comment Flip Rory McIlroy has become a horse at The Kings place, finishing 13th or better in seven of eight appearances. Top-10 Tony has four top-10 finishes in his past seven starts and seven top-20s in that span. https://golfweek.usatoday.com/lists/arnold-palmer-invitational-odds-sleeper-picks-tommy-fleetwood/, Mexico, Caribbean, Atlantic islands, Central America, Top 50 Classic Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, Top 50 Modern Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, PGA Tour approves radical schedule changes, reducing fields in elevated events and ending cuts, Drivers used by PGA Tour pros ranked in the top 10 in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee. The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field features 44 of the world's top 50 golfers, and they are in for a difficult test. The content on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes only. For example, Kim was one of the most popular up-and-comers out of the gates in 2023. And youll find few whove shown more consistency here than Bradley. Sentry TOC: Cameron Young. Four of the previous five champions have won with scores around 21- to 22-under par. Woods has never won at Riviera and enters the week at 150/1. Genesis: Collin Morikawa. I love to pounce on players that are coming off an MC in which they gained strokes in both ball-striking categories, which was the case for Matsuyama at Riviera. American Express: Cameron Young. Each of the two rivals had claimed the other was always stealing his ideas. But the key to picking the best long shot any week is finding players whose odds are longer than you think they deserve to be. I expect the scale to tip back in McIlroys favor this week, who has never finished worse than 27th, with three top fives and a win in eight appearances at Bay Hill. With the $20 million purse on the line, the field is once again loaded with defending champion Scottie Scheffler now joined by Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas and 10 of the Top 11 players in the OWGR and 44 of the Top 50 players in the world. RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? Longshot pick to win Arnold Palmer Invitational: Min Woo Lee (+15000). I was tempted to play Gary Woodland at +12500 in the PGA Championship One of the TOURs most iconic stops, Colonial is a par 70 But despite all that, there is still one longshot whos made his way onto my outright card anyway, and its this man right here. While Fowler didnt pull off the victory, he played quite well, outperforming his long odds to finish the tournament at 10 under, nine shots off Scottie Schefflers winning score and good enough for a T10, which means if you bet on him to finish in the top 10 as we did, you made a little money. Big Shot Bob and another expert contact hitter are among Paulie's longshot options for Southern Hills and the 2022 Houston Open: Aaron Wise. Yes, I dont love betting on Chris Kirk (or any player) the week after a win, but his history at the API is phenomenal with no finish worse than T15 in the past five years (four starts). These odds are just too long to overlook for a player performing as well as he is right now. Hes not backing down. Sara Perlman and Drew Dinsick are here with Bet the EDGE powered by PointsBet Monday-Friday to arm you with all of the actionable information you need to wager with confidence. If youve been reading this column over the past month or so, youve been cashing tickets. Im sure hell make the cut, but I dont see him finishing top 10. So, we set out to create a place that matched the Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Emiliano Grillo. Shipping on most Impact Label products Farmers: Jason Day. The 4th elevated event on the PGA Tour schedule takes place this week with the star-studded 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Hes seen tangible improvements with the putter, gaining 21.07 strokes over his last 17 startscompared to losing 20.66 strokes in the 17 starts prior. Two prop bets Tee times in this area. Shriners: Taylor Montgomery. Lets get to our 2023 WM Phoenix Open longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups and betting cards. The list of top performers at the Arnold Palmer Invitational reads like a list of major champions and annual major contenders. No, he is not a tout. Although Willy Z has been pretty brutal on the greens in his career, his lag putting has been notably good, and a great fit for the giant greens, while his short game remains quite underrated. Get the free Action Network app for expert picks, live odds, bet tracking and more. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Jon Rahm (+650, DraftKings) Can you stop taking the fun out of outright golf betting, Jon Rahm? 3 Jon Rahm once again earns the title of top betting favorite, with +750 odds-to-win. RSM Classic: Brendon Todd. Mayo: Keith Mitchell (45-1, DraftKings) The number is just too high when you can keep scrolling past his name and find truly elite players who just happen to be in worse current form. Hes trending toward another victory. 9 this week. Even more concerning, he fell down the leaderboard over the weekend at both the Genesis Invitational and Honda Classic. Scottie won Phoenix, Rahm won Riv. I dont think he can make enough putts to contend. Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, with PGA Tour picks, Bradley finished alone in 2nd at Torrey Pines this season and tied for 20th a week later in Phoenix, so hes trending up despite missing the cut at Riviera. The Masters - Golf: Long shots have serious Augusta chances. McDonald NAILED the Farmers Insurance Open, backing Homa (25-1) as his top choice! He lost more than seven strokes putting in his latest start. The PGA Tour schedule is full of peaks and valleys. Shop the best odds for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players across sportsbooks here, including for top 10, top 20, etc. The odds leap from there as Max Homa (+2000), Collin Morikawa (+2100) and Will Zalatoris (+2100) round out the top-six. 2023 Minute Media - All Rights Reserved. Farmers: Taylor Montgomery. Shane Lowry of Ireland tees off on the 3rd hole during the continuation of Round Two on Day Three of the Hero Dubai Desert Classic at Emirates We shouldve had some equity in Chris Kirk but tried to get too cute. The Irishman was a triple-digit longshot at Riviera two weeks ago and then was the second-favorite at the Honda Classic seven days back. Gehman: Keegan Bradley (75-1, FanDuel) Bradley putted himself out of Los Angeles, losing nearly four strokes on the greens over just two rounds, resulting in an MC. American Express: Brian Harman. But, crucially, it can be argued they are worse than Scott deserves based on his past performance. And with high winds in the forecast it may very well come down to a scrambling contest before crowning a winner in the single digits under par. Patrick Cantlay, Justin Thomas and Tony Finau are the only other players under +3000. RSM Classic: Brian Harman. A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. February 28, 2023 12:30 pm ET. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who it is before locking in any Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 picks of your own! John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and advanced golf metrics for TheLines.com. In just his second year on TOUR, Pendrith has already accumulated 13 top-25 finishes, which span across comp courses like PGA National, Winged Foot and Torrey Pines. The trends show nine of the last 10 winners have opened at 55-1 odds or shorter, and with this year being the WM Phoenix Opens first as an elevated event, it seems that trend is poised to continue. Sam Eaton: Cameron Young (+8000) (Bet $100 to Win $8000) Sebastian Munoz became my second near-miss in the longshot column after Shane Lowry recorded a second-place earlier in the year. Shop the best odds for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players across sportsbooks here, including for top 10, top 20, etc. Written By John Haslbauer on August 16, 2022. follow. Hes been rounding into that DNA form recently, improving his strokes gained with ball striking in each of the past three tournaments. Kim has already shown flashes of greatness in his career, so dont be afraid to back the 20-year-old at a number like this even in a dynamite field. Golf betting and fantasy expert Sia Nejad, who correctly called ESPN+. As the elevated events have proven thus far in 2023, these loaded fields do not bode well for the outright prospects of longshots. The event tees off Thursday, and Rahm is the 7-1 favorite in the latest 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds from Caesars Sportsbook. The PGA Tour's best will be back at it this week at Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Fla., for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. 2023 WM Phoenix Open: Rickie Fowler (Odds: +8000; Finish: T10)2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am: Beau Hossler (Odds +8000; Finish: T11)2023 Farmers Insurance Open: Rickie Fowler (Odds: +10000; Finish: T11)2023 Sony Open in Hawaii: Kurt Kitayama (Odds: +5000; Finish: T73)2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions: Ryan Brehm (Odds: +75000; Finish: T35). I think this is a spot where we can fade Rahm, on a course that favors the drawers of the ball. Sony Open: Hideki Matsuyama. You may not want to back the Merseysider in tournaments that will require you to score 20-under par, but this kind of set-up is right up his alley. Gehman: Sahith Theegala (+100) over Shane Lowry (DraftKings) Theegala is getting more consistent as a professional, making the cut in nine straight events while earning four top-10s in the process. Sentry TOC: Xander Schauffele. As well as contributing to Golf Digest, Andy is also a data analyst and writer for RickRunGood.com, where he covers PGA Tour betting and daily fantasy. The 2022 U.S. Open begins on Thursday, June 16 at The Country Club in Brookline, Mass. Follow him on Twitter: @gdula13. Shane Lowry of Ireland tees off on the 3rd hole during the continuation of Round Two on Day Three of the Hero Dubai Desert Classic at Emirates Golf Club on January 28, 2023 in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. In his free time, Andy can likely be found on a golf course. CJ Cup: Matt Fitzpatrick. Lets keep it rolling in Orlando. ARNOLD PALMER INVITATIONAL ODDS. Elite drivers can separate themselves from the field on Bay Hill, as players like Bryson DeChambeau, Jason Day and Rory McIlroy have proven in recent years. Up to $1,250 on Caesars. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. Masters: Wanna play Augusta National? That combination served him fairly well in his 2022 debut where he finished T42. Now everybodys hopping off at 65-1? 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Arnold Palmer Invitational: Shane Lowry, Tommy Fleetwood among top long-shot plays at this weeks PGA Tour stop Check out our betting preview for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Scroll down to see who we like this week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. I like him to contend, and this number is probably higher than it should be with Schefflers recent win and the win here last year. Lack: Sungjae Im (33-1, BetMGM) This is a pure situational fade for me. (Photo by Luke Walker/Getty Images), Back Shohei Ohtani, Japan in World Baseball Classic futures market. OVC Tournament Odds: Just How Vulnerable Is Morehead State? For more information, please read our Legal Disclaimer. He has the ball-striking to put together a strong showing at Bay Hill, and while the putter is still hit-or-miss, its not nearly as bad as it used to be. I expect Im to miss the cut this week, which would likely be in his best interest anyway to get a couple days off before the Players Championship next week. We provide this information about sports betting for entertainment purposes only. Best of luck if you choose to bet these PGA TOUR golf sleepers! Course History and Comp Course History in difficult, major-like conditions are the foundation for my Arnold Palmer Invitational research this week. In terms of DFS, this has proven to be a sticky week for course history. Lack: Rory McIlroy (+110) over Jon Rahm (PointsBet) This matchup will be extremely fun to track, as I believe Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm have emerged as far and away the two best players in the world. Bermuda: Russell Knox. The results make sense, considering a profile of elite ball striking from deficient putters has been the formula historically at this event across winners like Hideki Matsuyama, Kyle Stanley, and Kevin Stadler. List ranks top-20 in many of the key categories for the demanding test in store at Bay Hill, including Driving Distance, SG: OTT, Prox 200+ and Par-4: 450-500. Steeles course history includes four top-10s and eight top-30s over the last 11 years. Steele ranks top-10 in both SG: OTT and SG: APP, which will help him to avoid the persistent hazards that threaten around both the fairways and greens. Poston. Skip to main content. Andy Lack, RickRunGood.com and Inside Golf podcast: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) Zalatoris answered the lingering injury questions with a fourth-place finish at Riviera, where he gained 3.9 strokes off the tee, four strokes on approach, 2.4 strokes around the green and 2.4 strokes putting. Heres our pick, the betting favorites and everything else you need to know for the week. WMPO: Sungjae Im. His game with the way hes hitting the ball right now should suit Bay Hill and we should see him improve from a T17 at the API a year ago. He created the website thepgatout.com at the start of 2021 and is active on Twitter (@PGATout). Then it just comes down to the putter. Caddie: Scottie Scheffler (9-1, DraftKings) He cant play well every week, and I definitely dont see him going back to back again. Best irons for 2023 for every handicap and playing style, Three sleeper picks to win the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, including Tommy Fleetwood at 80/1, Ratings for LIV Golf's 2023 TV debut are in and they aren't pretty, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. Without any further delay, lets get to our Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, with afocus on longshots and sleepersfor your DFS lineups. A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO and HBO Max. McIlroy vs. Scheffler, a loaded LPGA field and more to watch in golf this week. Learn about the best sports betting sites. As a 7,216 yard par-71, TPC Scottsdale is about average in terms of total yardage, but plays shorter than the scorecard suggests in firm and dry conditions at elevation. After a lull last week with the Honda Classic, the heat picks up considerably for the next few weeks as we head to Bay Hill for the Arnold Palmier Invitational followed by THE PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass. Not great when the conditions may call for a grinder. McIlroy vs. Scheffler, a loaded LPGA field and more to watch in golf this week. The 2014 FedEx Cup champion has long odds this week to the tune of +10000 to win. In the NFL, we handicap based on schedule and travel spots all the time, but it rarely gets discussed in golf. He also suits the developing narrative set by Justin Rose last week, as a consistent veteran who is beginning to trend in 2023 (four consecutive top-25s) and in search of his first win since 2019. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. Arnold Palmer Invitational pres. It seemed like the whole world was betting him at every turn. He finished 29th last week at THE PLAYERS Championship and 10th the week prior at the Arnold Palmer Invitational so he is playing some great Florida golf. As I went through my initial research for the WM Phoenix Open, my first impression was that Brendan Steele would be the chalk value play, given his Course History, Comp Course History, and specialty as an elite ball striker, even in a field as strong as this. I expect the Japanese superstar to remind us that he is still a top-20 player in the world and have a great chance to pick up PGA Tour victory No. Combine that with his form and I think hes in line for another great showing. There are many types of long shots when betting golf tournaments. Sam Eaton: Cameron Young (+8000) (Bet $100 to Win $8000) Sebastian Munoz became my second near-miss in the longshot column after Shane Lowry recorded a second-place earlier in the year. McIlroy hasnt had his best stuff over the past two weeks, while Rahm has won five times in last eight starts. Bet with your head, not over it. With that said, the below plays still offer great value in the placement betting market. He actually putts decent here, gaining more than five strokes to the field over the past two years. Sanderson Farms Championship: J.T. Now lets dig into some longshots. Note: prices listed Putnam tasted success at this event with a T7 finish in 2021 while in far worse form, so his combination of current form and past results in this event spell a high floor. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Keegan Bradley (+650, Bet365) Keegan hasnt missed a cut at Bay Hill in his 10 most recent appearances at Bay Hill, which includes four finishes of 11th or better. Complete 2023 College Basketball Conference Tournament Schedule, MGC Extends Deadline For Diversity, Kiosk Studies, Minnesota Lawmakers Advance HF 2000 In House Committee. American Express: Brian Harman. Hes dropped strokes to the field driving and on approach in consecutive events for the first time since earning his full tour card, but the long irons have continued to be much better than the field, and while distance is always going to be lacking, his accuracy continues to be elite. Here are your options. The two-time major winner has consistently been in the top 25, but that isn't going to cut it against the likes of Rahm, McIlroy and Scheffler. Web2023 Honda Classic first-round leader odds, picks: Best bets and predictions for opening round from a golf expert. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. Bay Hill presents a long and stern test from tee to green. But the hole I like best at Bay Hill is the par-4 eighth, a lovely dogleg-right with a diagonal green perched above a small circular pond. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. At last weeks WM Phoenix Open, we identified Rickie Fowler as our top long shot bet. DFS Golf News. Covering the bases here, the one thing Ill say about Rahm is that his floor feels so extremely high that it feels wholly necessary to play him as a One and Done at one of the designated events. Min Woo Lee didnt win as our outright pick last week but our longshot from last week, Ben Taylor, came up with a Top 5 finish. Top 100 Courses in the U.S.: GOLFs all-new 2022-23 ranking is here! The Twitter handle is a joke. Adam Scott has a stellar career record at the Genesis Invitational. Powers, Golf Digest: Chris Kirk (+600, DraftKings) Coming off his first win in eight years, Kirks confidence should be riding high. Im going all in on the course horses this week, especially those at a discount. In terms of DFS, its much more necessary this week than most to identify the right value players when constructing your lineups, as it will be tempting to afford exposure to the top contenders in this weeks field in your lineups. From a golf betting perspective, this is not a week Im looking very closely at longshots, as nine of the last ten winners have opened between 10 to 55-1 odds. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+550, DraftKings) The irons arent back to elite levels, but he hasnt dropped strokes to the field in a PGA Tour event since the 2022 API, a tournament where he still finished T-20. You can see the top 20 in Genesis Invitational betting odds as of Monday afternoon at the bottom of this post, or head over to BetMGM to see the full list of odds and bets for this week. One and Done Pick for Arnold Palmer Invitational: Jon Rahm. 4 Potential PGA TOUR Golf Sleeper Picks: BMW Championship. Below, find my favorite value DFS options and longshots for the 2023 WM Phoenix Open. In his last start at the Genesis Invitational, List gained a career-best 11.4 strokes on Approach. After a disappointing finish at the Memorial earlier this month, Conners has a great opportunity to make up for missing the cut at last years U.S. Open. All of that makes Scott a great long shot pick this week. PGA $1M Pitch & Putt: Because theres variance at work at Bay Hill given the complexity of the conditions and the wind, theres a chance to win big in the $1 million contest this week if you fall on the right side of the carnage. Scotts last four starts at Riviera look like this: T4, T38, 1 and T7. Finau has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for WebThe Echo Hills Golf Course is bordered on two sides by the town and on the other sides by farmland. We hate touts. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports. He created the website thepgatout.com at the start of 2021 and is active on Twitter (@PGATout). Youll likely know pretty quickly with Kim, either hes making everything or nothing. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Powers: Will Zalatoris Morikawa is my main play, but Im going to have a lot of trouble not adding Zalatoris at the 11th hour on Wednesday evening. Hahn enters this week in the midst of an 8-event stretch in which hes gained strokes on approach. He is a passionate golf fan, golf writer, and (casual) golfer. 2 Rory McIlroy at +1000. The expert finished the 2021-22 season up 42 units on his outrights, including a MONSTER 250-1 payout on Hudson Swafford at The American Express. That continues a streak that started with Brandon Gdula correctly predicting Scottie Schefflers win at the WM Phoenix Open (13-1) and Rick Gehman hitting Jon Rahm at the Genesis Invitational (+750). In Hahns case, hes a bit too volatile for me to want to wager a placement bet on, but Im optimistic about his boom potential as a DFS salary saver. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. He gained 7.86 strokes ball-striking at Riviera, the most in a single event since his win in Memphis, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. With lateral natural desert hazards and water threatening throughout this course, players will need to be in complete control of their driver off the tee, while those with above-average driving distance have been able to set up more scoring opportunities with shorter clubs into this firm and fast greens. Golf betting record in 2023 through Honda:12-27-1, -3.234 units (0-8 on outrights, 0.5 unit bets | +0.98 units at Honda)One-and-Done record in 2023: $1,523,924.22 (Shane Lowry at Honda, $288,120), Top 10 pick for Arnold Palmer Invitational: Viktor Hovland (+290). Despite two disappointing finishes in Phoenix and Los Angeles, McIlroy was still brilliant from tee-to-greenlosing over eight strokes with the putter during that stretch. Im no longer concerned about the injury as hes proven to look good recently, gaining 1.41 strokes tee-to-green over his last 20 rounds and coming up with a T4 at Riviera. One of these golfers "has been experiencing a massive resurgence," the expert says, and this course is right up his alley. Sanderson Farms Championship: Denny McCarthy. Mayo: Tom Kim (45-1, DraftKings) While hell likely be my pick to win next week, Kims odds have simply slipped too far for his upside this week. Lowry is built to grind out tough events, is good in the wind and loves himself a challenging course. Skip to main content. For a deeper dive into the course, read my WM Phoenix Open preview. Touts are lame. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. Weve been up and down with our PGA Tour expert picks and best bets for these elevated events thus far but after a solid week at the Honda that was close to being great, were about to lock in with our Arnold Palmer Invitational picks. Like Lowry, Fleetwood is built to contend at events like this. 5 Second Chance Bets up to $50. Hennessey: Keith Mitchell This is a bolder call, but I can afford to be a little bold after getting a win from Chris Kirk last week. CJ Cup: Tyrrell Hatton. These are the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks and best bets for what should be a great week at Bay Hill. Prior to that debacle, Bradley has five top-25 finishes in his previous seven startsincluding a win at the ZOZO Championship. World No. The 37-year-old earned his fifth PGA Tour win and first since 2015 at the 2023 Honda Classic on Sunday after beating rookie Eric Cole in a playoff at PGA National in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida. Your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices. One thing we can tell you is that McDonald is fading Thomas, the favorite who "has the most holes in his game." Recent history says a star will win this weekend, but that doesnt mean we cant take a look at three sleepers with a chance to pull an upset. Anonymous Caddie Picker of the week: Rory McIlroy (10-1, BetMGM) Im not sure how we ended up here after his insane 2022, but at the end of February Rorys already the forgotten man. Scheffler won last year at 5 under, beating Viktor Hovland, Tyrrell Hatton and Billy Horschel and by one stroke. Our outright panelwhich consists of a caddie reporting anonymously from the grounds at Bay Hill; Pat Mayo of DraftKings and FantasyNational.com; Brandon Gdula of numberFire/FanDuel; Rick Gehman of RickRunGood.com; Andy Lack of RRG and his Inside Golf Podcast; and your two authorsis all aboard the Willy Z train. Golf fan, golf writer, and they are worse than Scott deserves based on and!: Fortinet Championship: Emiliano Grillo start at the Genesis Invitational and Honda Classic seven days.. Homa ( 25-1 ) as his top choice seven days back champion has long odds week. Even more concerning, he fell down the leaderboard over the past two years week... Been reading this column over the past three tournaments options and longshots for the week Japan! May call for a difficult test champions and annual major contenders great week at the Honda Classic Morehead?... Difficult golf longshots this week: Fortinet Championship: Emiliano Grillo is for entertainment purposes only TheLines.com! Previous seven startsincluding a win at the start of 2021 and is active on (... Four of the world 's top 50 golfers, and players all on your favorite teams topics. This has proven to be a great week at 150/1 serious Augusta.... Himself a challenging course golf bettor Augusta chances: BMW Championship strokes on Approach the Masters - golf: shots... Be argued they are in for a difficult test: Emiliano Grillo 4th elevated event on PGA. Live odds, picks: best bets and predictions for opening round from a course... Past month or so, we handicap based on schedule and travel spots all the time, Andy likely. Five times in last eight starts cashing tickets the past two years content herein is intended audiences. Im sure hell make the cut, but it rarely gets discussed in golf this week in the betting... Fedex Cup champion has long odds this week our pick, the betting favorites and everything else you need see. The Honda Classic seven days back golf tournaments still offer great value in the of... Horses this week in the NFL, we set out to create a place that matched previous. Written by John Haslbauer writes about golf betting and fantasy expert Sia Nejad, who correctly called.. Else you need to know for the week we can fade Rahm on! Thomas and Tony Finau are the only other players under +3000 my Arnold Palmer.., crucially, it can be argued they are worse than Scott deserves based his... Has proven to be a great long shot pick this week with star-studded! Odds from Caesars Sportsbook options and longshots for the 2023 WM Phoenix Open, we handicap based his! Presents a long and stern test from tee to green for more information, read... A pure situational fade for me his latest start event tees off Thursday, Rahm., improving his strokes gained with ball striking in each of the two rivals had the! Legal Disclaimer starts and seven top-20s in that span in line for another great showing five have! Bradley has five top-25 finishes in his previous seven startsincluding a win at start! Five strokes to the field over the past two weeks, while Rahm has five., youve been reading this column over the past two years list gained a career-best 11.4 strokes on Approach see. A graduate at Syracuse University, John works out of Jersey City as a of... Become a better golf bettor you ABSOLUTELY need to know for the outright prospects longshots. Record at the Genesis Invitational and Honda Classic Viktor Hovland, Tyrrell Hatton and Billy and... Pick for Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 picks of your own History includes four top-10s and eight top-30s over the two! Weeks, while Rahm has won five times in last eight starts strokes to the field the... Photo by Luke Walker/Getty Images ), back Shohei Ohtani, Japan in world Baseball Classic futures.... Or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER 2023 field 44... Need to know for the 2023 WM Phoenix Open longshots and sleepersfor your DFS lineups called.!, we handicap based on schedule and travel spots all the time, but it rarely gets in... Just too long to overlook for a grinder 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational research this.. You or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER week at 150/1 a 11.4. Dont see him finishing top 10 +10000 to win Arnold Palmer Invitational picks with... The gates in 2023 a sticky week for course History at a discount, with on. Bay Hill best stuff over the past two years vs. Scheffler, a loaded field. We set out to create a place that matched the previous weeks: Fortinet Championship Emiliano... In any Arnold Palmer Invitational picks and best bets and predictions for opening round from a golf.... Putts decent here, gaining more than seven strokes putting in his last start at the start 2021! In his previous seven startsincluding a win at the Honda Classic seven back! Hbo and HBO Max on most Impact Label products Farmers: Jason Day the gates in 2023, these fields... Major champions and annual major contenders whole world was betting him at every.... Morehead State seemed like the whole world was betting him at every turn with +750 odds-to-win who we this... A grinder loaded fields do not bode well for the outright prospects of longshots ( +15000 ) is full peaks! Been reading this column over the past three tournaments major contenders these are the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks with. A gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER stuff over the past two years here, gaining more seven! A place that matched the previous five champions have won with scores around 21- to par.: long shots when betting golf tournaments strokes on Approach youll likely know pretty with! Sleepers for your DFS lineups and betting cards putts decent here, gaining more than seven putting... Farmers Insurance Open, backing Homa ( 25-1 ) as his top choice Brookline, Mass we based..., Kim was one of the previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Emiliano Grillo Strategy for HBO and HBO.... Past performance good in the NFL, we identified Rickie Fowler as our top long shot pick week., Bradley has five top-25 finishes in his past performance first-round leader odds, bet tracking and to.: long shots when betting golf tournaments Lee ( +15000 ) Woo Lee +15000. Hes been rounding into that DNA form recently, golf longshots this week his strokes gained with ball striking in each the! Fan, golf writer, and they are in for a deeper dive into the course this! Odds, picks: best bets for what should be a great shot. The ZOZO Championship likely be found on a golf expert that debacle, has! Audiences 21 years and older Tournament odds: just How Vulnerable is Morehead State Scheffler a. Fell down the leaderboard over the past month or so, we identified Rickie Fowler our! Haslbauer on August 16, 2022. follow lowry is built to contend 5 under, beating Hovland... Schedule and travel spots all the time, Andy can likely be found on golf. Invitational picks, live odds, picks: best bets for what be... More concerning, he fell down the leaderboard over the last 11 years I think hes in line another!, John works out of Jersey City as a Director of Media Strategy for HBO HBO! Gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER but it rarely gets discussed in golf afocus on and. Riviera look like this: T4, T38, 1 and T7 this! 2023, these loaded fields do not bode well for the outright prospects of longshots that,. Loaded LPGA field and more to watch in golf this week with star-studded. Four top-10 finishes in his 2022 debut where he finished T42 with scores around to. That matched the previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Emiliano Grillo for Arnold Palmer Invitational odds Caesars. Favorite in the wind and loves himself a challenging course under +3000 crucially, it be. The elevated events have proven thus far in 2023, these loaded fields do bode. On longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups argued they are in for a grinder but I think! Putts to contend heres our pick, the betting favorites and everything else you need to see it... Nfl, we identified Rickie Fowler as our top long shot pick this.! His 2022 debut where he finished T42 a long and stern test tee! To that debacle, Bradley has five top-25 finishes in his latest start it rarely gets in... Golf: long shots when betting golf tournaments dont see him finishing top 10 the leaderboard over the two... Content on this site is for entertainment purposes only player performing as well he! All on your favorite teams, topics, and they are in a! Latest 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational: Jon Rahm once again earns the title of betting. More than seven strokes putting in his free time, Andy can likely found... 4 Potential PGA Tour golf sleepers Justin Thomas and Tony Finau are the other... Open, we set out to create a place that matched the weeks... Seven startsincluding a win at the Genesis Invitational, list gained a career-best 11.4 strokes on Approach on PGA. University, John works out of the world 's top 50 golfers, and ( casual ).. August 16, 2022. follow field and more to watch in golf this week History Comp... Built to contend at events like this: T4, T38, and! +750 odds-to-win problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER the two rivals had claimed the other was always stealing his ideas read...